US500: A further correction towards 5192 before resuming purchases.
Bearish Scenario: Sales below 5220... Bullish Scenario: Buys above 5225 (if price fails to break below decisively) ...
Rally Is Not Over For Risk Assets
2022-12-15 • Updated
What is happening?
In December 2021, the main question on global markets was: “When will the FED increase the key rate?” Traders and investors were transferring their capitals into USDs, waiting for the great dump worldwide. Today, many of the “growth stocks” lost more than 50% from their highs. Since November, Bitcoin has plunged by 40%. The US indices are once again trading around the bottom border of the rising global channel.
Will this bearish trend continue, or have we already found the bottom for the next couple of months?
FBS analysts’ opinion
We believe that market members have overestimated tapering risks, and right now is the perfect moment to look for long traders in risk assets.
For example, according to the Fear & Greed index, Bitcoin has already found its global support. If you look at the picture below, you will realize Bitcoin reverses every time the crypto market’s F&G index hits 10.
The Crypto market’s Fear & Greed index
Technical analysis
BTC/USD daily chart
The price has reached a powerful range between $39 000 and $41 000. We can notice that the price has always reacted to these levels, so there is no doubt that the pullback will happen this time. The target for this movement is $45 600. Unfortunately, if bears can drag Bitcoin under $39000, the price will head towards $30 000.
US500 daily chart
The US500 bounced off the bottom line of the global ascending channel again. The 100-day moving average is still an insurmountable barrier for sellers. We expect the US500 to renew its all-time high by mid-February. As soon as the price breaks through 4810, it will head towards 4870.
US100 daily chart
The US100 index has also bounced off the global trend line. The triple bottom pattern has appeared on the chart. As soon the price breaks through 16 600, it will reach 17 300.
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WTT: Currency Pairs To Trade In April
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
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Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
